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The Machine · Reading a company

Debt makes good years great, bad years worse

Debt÷Profit, a year=years to repay
What it is

A company borrows to buy more than its own money allows. Debt divided by a year's profit shows how many years of profit it would take to pay it all back.

GOOD YEAR, WITH DEBT+80%BAD YEAR, WITH DEBT−60%
Why it matters

Borrowed money multiplies results. A good year makes the owners much richer; a bad year can wipe them out, because the loan still has to be paid whatever happens.

DEBT €1005 yearsDEBT €30015 years
The numbers

Two companies earn €20 a year. One owes €100 (5 years to repay from profit alone). One owes €300 (15 years). The second is far more fragile if profit drops.

Profit fallsDebt: still due in full
The trap

High debt looks fine while profit is steady. The danger shows up exactly when profit falls, which is also when the company can least afford it.

Annual reportDebt ÷ profit = years
Where you see it

A company's balance sheet lists its debt; its income statement shows yearly profit. Dividing one by the other takes a minute and says a lot.

In one line

Debt multiplies results both ways. Check how many years of profit it would take to repay.

Do it today

Debt ÷ a year’s profit for one company.

NextA 10% dividend can be a warning
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